Saturday, July 26, 2014

CWG athletics preview (part 2)

Glasgow (Indian) preview-Part II

Women

Saradha Narayana and M. R. Poovamma have been entered in the individual 100 and 400 respectively. Invariably the team management prevents such runners from competing in the individual events, once the time comes for confirming entries on the spot, saying that they would be better off preserving their energies for the relays. Poovamma, with a PB of 51.73, is in a position to make the final in the one-lap race.

800m-The Kenyans have been strong in this event and with World champion Eunice Sum in great touch this season, it doesn’t look to be going different in Glasgow. There are a clutch of women behind the Kenyans (the other being former world champion and Olympic silver medallist in 2008, Janeth Jepkosgei) who are all capable of gunning for the medals. In such company Tintu Luka might yet again find it tough to make a dash for a minor medal. P. T. Usha’s trainee has been prepared well this season and she is confident of bettering her National record. But that alone may not be sufficient to get a medal. Invariably, the pace in an 800 metres is dictated by the favourite unless a ‘rabbit’ is allowed to take the rest through a fast first lap. Tintu often tries to keep pace with the leaders nowadays instead of front-running. Yet, on the backstraight it still becomes a struggle for her to keep pace. And by the time the last 200 metres comes Tintu starts drifting a bit, losing touch with the leaders. Her lack of finish has been her Achilles at the international level and it continues to stall her in her quest for greater glory.  It will be a great achievement if Tintu can grab a medal in such company. Ugandan Winnie Nanyondo (SB 1,58.63),  Scot Lynsey Sharp (1,59.67), Canadian Melissa Bishop (1,59.70) and England’s Jessica Judd (1,59.77) are likely to be the other contenders with whom Tintu will have to slug it out through the final 150 metres. Will she produce a finish hitherto unseen? Prelims July 30, Final July 31.
400m hurdles- Ashwini Akkunji, returning to big-time competition after her doping suspension in 2011, is more determined than ever before to prove herself, if media reports are any indication.  With her season best 57.43, not a bad effort considering the time gap from her last competitive hurdles, Ashwini is not among the top 12 entries in these Games. Since she is only a reserve in the 4x400m relay, she would be allowed to run her individual race and it should do her some good towards her preparations for the Asian Games where she is the defending champion and might stand a better chance. Heats July 30, Final July 31.
High jump-At the Commonwealth level this is one of the women’s events where there is only a limited world-class talent on display. And that should certainly help India’s Sahana Kumari aim for a medal, provided she jumps at her best (1.92) or close to that. She had disappointed in the Olympics in 2012 by clearing just 1.80 in the qualification round after having set that National record of 1.92 in Hyderabad. She jumped a season best 1.83 in New Delhi in the last CWG to be joint fourth when the title went for 1.92. The top contender this time is the 18-year-old World Youth champion from Australia, Elenor Patterson who has a season best of 1.94 and PB of 1.96 achieved in 2013. She has seven career marks over 1.92. Cypriot Leonita Kallenou has jumped a National record 1.92 this May and also has two other marks of 1.90 or better this season. England’s Isobel Pooley is a 1.91 jumper. The others are either in the same range this season as Sahana (1.89) or lower.  The 33-year-old Karnataka star can surely make a determined effort to be among the medals. Prelims July 30, Final July 31.

Difficult for Mayookha

Long jump-Mayookha Johny’s young career has seen ups and downs like no one else’s has in recent years. Touted as the most outstanding talent since Anju Bobby George, Mayookha is yet to realize her potential. At least that is what coaches say. She missed a medal in the last CWG when M. A. Prajusha pulled of a surprise silver in long jump. The gold went for 6.50 while Mayookha had jumped  6.64 in New Delhi just three months earlier.  Mayookha managed only 6.30 for the sixth place. Nerves perhaps.
This time it will be more difficult for the Kerala athlete to snatch a medal. The field is expected to contain Nigerian Blessing Okagbare who took a surprise bronze in the 2008 Olympics  and claimed the silver at the 2013 World Championships.
It will also have Englishwoman Shara Proctor (SB 6.82), Canadian Christable Nettey (6.73), Australians Brooke Stratton (6.70) and Margaret Gayen (6.62), Nigerian Esa Brume (6.68) and Bianca Stuart of the Bahamas (6.65). (The entries here are taken from the Glasgow 2014 website. These are not from start-lists). Mayookha’s best this season is  6.56.
Prelims July 30, Final July 31.

Samuels looks favourite

Discus-This is the event where India expects to get two medals, from both its contestants, the defending champion Krishna Poonia and Seema Antil. India had swept the medals last time at home, with Harwant Kaur taking the silver. Harwant did not compete in Lucknow, nursing a back injury. Otherwise there was a good possibility of her name being included in the squad.
The difference between 2010 and now is the presence of former World champion Dani Samuels of Australia. She had opted out of the New Delhi Games and, post-Games, almost clashed with Poonia in a winner-take-all duel that failed to come off eventually. She has her chance to prove a point. For that matter Poonia has her chance to prove that she is the best in Commonwealth.
Samuels is in the form of her life this season and should start firm favourite to win a title she might have been eyeing in 2010 when she missed even coming to Delhi. She touched a PB of 67.99 at Wiesbaden, Germany, on May 10 this year and has two other marks over 67 metres this season apart from four other results over 65 metres. These are impressive credentials as she stages a comeback into the top four bracket in the world after having struggled a bit during the past three years.
Poonia, a finalist at the London Olympics, has also coped with injuries for some time. She has a best of 59.17 for the season which was good enough to cement her selection (even when she was short of the standard she was picked) but the fact that she has not crossed 60 since 2012 should be a cause for worry in the Indian camp.
The tussle between Poonia and Seema Antil is too well known. Seema, who also has trained in the US this season, like Poonia, has a season best 59.72. She crossed 62 in 2012 for the first time since 2004 but was down to a best of 56.37 last year.
We are in the dark about Poonia and Antil’s form this season since both have not competed in many meets. In fact Antil has done only one while Poonia has participated in three.
Jamaican Kellion Knibb (PB 61.34 this May), New Zealnder Siositina Hakeal (59.65) and Jamaican Danniel Thomas (59.38) are the other contestants who may spoil India’s target of two medals from discus, which, outside of Samuels, does not have a top-20 performer in the world this season.
Prelims July 31, Final Aug 1
Javelin- Annu Rani’s National record of 58.83 set at the Lucknow inter-State, which ranks 36th in the world for the season,  is dwarfed by the Commonwealth topper this season, Kim Mickle’s 66.83. The Aussie will have two more from her country for company, Kathryn Mitchell (66.10) and Kelsey-Lee Roberts (63.92). The experienced South African Sunette Viljoen (PB 69.35, SB 64.77) and Englishwoman Goldie Sayers (62.75) will complete the leading lineup. In fact this event is one of the toughest in women’s throws  in the games in terms of having top-ranked athletes in the fray, with Liz Gleadle of Canada (64.50) another top-10 performer this season along with Mickle, Mitchell and Viljoen. Do we need to discus Annu Rani’s prospects further?
Prelims July 29, Final July 30.

Relay chances

4x100m relay-Last time’s sensational feat of a medal will not be repeated this time, though there are reports to suggest that coaches and others were excited about the trial timing of 44.99. There are six teams from the Commonwealth which have run below 44 seconds this season, most of them at the World Relays at Nassau, Bahamas.  You can’t expect four of them to either drop a baton or cross the ‘zone’! It should be considered a good achievement if the Indian team makes it to the final. Heats Aug 1, Final Aug 2.
4x400m relay-That moment at the Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium in 2010 is etched in memory. As a crowd of more than 60,000 roared them towards a historic gold medal, Indian athletics seemed to have made a mark for itself in the world arena. A bunch of ‘village girls’ had pulled off the impossible. A year later the world came crashing down on almost all of them when the doping scandal struck. By 2012, even with the key members of the team under suspension, people still talked about India getting an Olympic medal in London if the girls could return to the mainstream!
So, what are the prospects in Glasgow? If you keep a target of 3,32 for the Indian team which has clocked 3,32 last year and during trials, it will be around seventh in the Commonwealth lists for the season. Jamaica tops at 3,23.26 followed by Nigeria at 3,23.41.
A medal then looks remote. A place in the final might just be true reward for a bunch of hard-working girls who are trying to contribute their share towards rebuilding a team.
Heats Aug 1, Final Aug 2

Post-script-The start-lists for the opening day's programme on July 27, now available, show both Saradha and Poovamma having been entered in the 100m and 400m respectively, much against the practice followed through the years. Saradha may only have a slim chance of going through the opening round while Poovamma, as stated earlier here, has the credentials to make the final.

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