With India
struggling to climb up the medals table mainly because of its inability to add
to the gold won by shooter Jitu Rai on the first day of competition in the
Asian Games in Incheon, all eyes would be focused on the athletics events
starting on Saturday, 27th September.
In
Guangzhou in 2010, Indian athletes had contributed a dozen medals including
five gold medals, finishing second on the athletics roster behind China. That
tally looks almost impossible to replicate. But don’t be too sure. No one
expected India to win that many in athletics last time!
Chief coach
Bahadur Singh has forecast a collection of 12 to 15 medals this time. It could
be tough but not impossible. The truth is no one is sure how well our athletes
had been “prepared”. If the preparations have gone on as per plans then Bahadur’s
prediction would come to fruition, otherwise reaching double digits in the
medals tally could be a problem as it was in the Commonwealth Games in Glasgow.
In fact in the CWG it was a below-par effort of one gold, one silver and one
bronze.
Dozen the target
A dozen
medals in Incheon could be an attainable target for India, but that is only if
everything falls into place. Otherwise it could be just half of that tally.
Let us take
a look at the key events in which Indian athletes could be aiming for medals.
Men
800m-Sajeesh
Joseph ran a PB 1,46.81 in the Fed Cup at Patiala. There are eight other men in
the field who have clocked better than that this season. But then the 800 or
the 1500 do not pan out as per timings and records. Favourites can find
themselves struggling on the straight sometimes just as Bilal Mansoor Ali of
Bahrain found out in Guangzhou in 2010. Abdulrahman Musaeb Bala of Qatar should
be the favourite this time. He has eight of the top-10 timings in Asia this
season, with a best of 1,44.03 for the second place in Rieti, Italy, earlier
this month. Sajeesh will have to battle it out with Abdulaziz Ladan Mohamed of
Saudi Arabia, Sho Kawamoto of Japan and Abraham Rotich Kipchirchir of Bahrain
in his drive to get a minor medal. A bronze for the 27-year-old Indian would be
a creditable feat.
110m
hurdles-Siddhanth Thingalaya has not yet realized his potential. An unfortunate
hamstring injury while aiming for the Olympic qualification in a meet in
Brussels in 2012 put the brakes on his progress. He did clock a national record
of 13.65s even as he suffered the injury. He equaled that mark at Patiala to
make it to the Indian team. He is only fourth in Asia with that mark this
season, the leading time being the 13.23s clocked by Chinese Xie Wenjun in
Shangahi while winning the Diamond League race. Abdulaziz Al-Mandeel of Kuwait
is the other front-runner in the event though the Chinese has a clear edge.
Reigning Asian champion Jiang Fan is also in the line-up though not at his best
this season. Thingalaya will need to stretch himself to get the bronze.
Arpinder leads the Asian lists
Triple
jump-Arpinder Singh is the Asian leader with his sensational national record of
17.17m at Lucknow. He bagged the bronze at the Commonwealth Games, though with
an inferior 16.70m. There is no other
Asian jumper with a 17-metre mark this season. That doesn’t make the
22-year-old Indian the favourite, though. Chinese Cao Shuo, with his 16.83 at
the Continental Cup at Marrakech, Morocco, has projected himself as a strong
contender for the top honours along with team-mate Dong Bin. Arpinder, who
skipped the Continental Cup, rather inexplicably, will have to battle it out
with the two Chinese. Renjith Maheswary, the former National record holder who
could manage only 15.91 at Marrakech, but produced a 16.61m at the Patiala
re-trials, has not been in the best of form this season. Arpinder’s consistency
will be on test in Incheon. It is suspect at this point. Renjith will have to
bring out all his experience to be able to get among the medals. Local
favourite Kim Duk-Hyung has jumped 16.61m this season and can get among the
medals.
Discus-This
is the best chance Vikas Gowda has to become an Asian Games champion. He would
be back at the same venue that saw him clinch his first Asian silver in 2005 as
a 22-year-old. Iranian Ehsan Hadadi, Olympic silver medallist in London, and
defending Asian Games champion, is not in the best of form. Yet he has a 65.23
to Gowda’s 65.62 for the season. Gowda was more consistent around 63-64 metres
early on this season, but has come down to around 62-metre-plus which is what
Hadadi also has been throwing of late. Hadadi has an impressive 15-1 record against Gowda, the two being even
for the season. Having taken the gold in Glasgow Gowda should be on a ‘high’.
He looks the best candidate among Indian men to get a gold. Mohammad Samimi
(65.46m in July) is the other major contender in discus.
Women
400m-M. R.
Poovamma who led the Asian season lists for quite some time has a close
challenger in Kemi Adekoya of Bahrain, who should also be running in the 400m
hurdles. She is the favourite in both the events. Adekoya leads the season
lists with 51.32 to Povamma’s 51.73. Poovamma was a little disappointing in
Glasgow, beaten twice by Sri Lankan Chandrika Subhashini Rasanayake who should
be among the medal contenders here. A bronze for the Karnataka girl looks
possible. Kazakhs Yulia Rakhmanova and Elina Mikhina would be the other major actors.
800m-Tintu
Luka has to shed the tag of a ‘choker’ in big championships. She heads the
Asian lists for the season with her 2,00.56, but has not done too well after
her Doha performance in May. She was eliminated in the semifinals in Glasgow
and was eighth and last in the Continental Cup this month. Kazakhstan’s
Margarita Mukasheva (nee Matsko) who won in Guangzhou is once again Tintu’s
closest challenger, timing-wise. Or should it be the other way round? Tintu’s
inability to produce the kind of finish that wins middle distance races had
been a cause for concern among athletics enthusiasts apart from coach P. T.
Usha. Once again there is hope that she would run a modest opening lap of
around 58.2 secs to be in a position to challenge the others through the final
250 metres. Too fast or too slow for the lap has often left Tintu out of the
race by the 600 metres and her inability to ‘kick’ on the home straight has
proved to be a great handicap. Tintu has
worked hard this season in the build-up towards the Games. Her own pacing will
determine whether she gets the gold or silver or ends up as she did in
Guangzhou. Team-mate Sushma Devi who scored a rare win over Tintu at the
Lucknow Inter-State should also be aiming for a medal here.
1500m/5000m-O.
P. Jaisha, medal winner in the Doha Games, back in great form this season,
should have fairly good chances of landing a medal in either of these events if
not both. Two Bahrainians Mimi Belete and Maryam Yusuf Jamal, two-time world
champion, should be the top contenders in the 1500m. Both have also been
entered for the 5000m.
3000m
steeplechase-Ruth Jebet of Bahrain, denied the Asian title in Pune because of
eligibility questions, is eligible for the Games. The former Kenyan, aged 17,
looks unbeatable. For India, Lalita Babar, more than defending champion Sudha
Singh, looks poised to grab a medal. Of what colour is difficult to tell, quite
possibly the bronze.
Chinese not unbeatable
Discus-Normally
the Chinese look too formidable in this event that we don’t even think of
picking an Indian as among the contenders for the gold or silver. Not this
time, though. The leading Chinese this season, Yang Yanbo (63.31) or the second
ranked Chinese, Su Xinyue (61.31) have not been entered. Instead we have Lu
Xiaoxin and Tan Jian. This should raise Indian hopes, especially that of Seema
Antil Punia who took the silver in the CWG. Seema leads the entry lists for the
season with 61.61 followed by Lu at 60.68. Strange though it may sound, Seema
is making her Asian Games debut and should be aiming for the yellow metal,
though the recent past favours the Chinese. Last edition’s bronze medallist.
Krishna Poonia has had fitness problems that hampered her at Glasgow. It is not
clear how far she has improved. A medal for her could be possible yet.
4x400m
relay-The Indian quartet clocked Asia’s leading time for the season in the
trials at Patiala at 3,29.93. Japan, China and Kazakhstan should be looking for
a chink in the Indian line-up. Three of the suspended athletes of 2011,
Priyanka Panwar, Mandeep Kaur and Ashwini A. C. are in the team though the last
two may not figure in the final. India’s strength in this event is likely to be
evident once again. If there is a sure gold medal to be had from athletics for
India then there is no better event than this one.
20km
walk-Khushbir Kaur is the third best in the fray with her national record of
1,31.40 set at the World Cup at Taicang, China, this season. The Chinese look
too strong to allow any one to upset their one-two domination. Kaur should take
at least the bronze.
The other
Indians who could be in contention could be men’s 10,000m runner Rahul Kumar
Pal, steeplechaer Naveen Kumar, shot putter Indrajit Singh, women’s metric
miler Sinimole Markose and high jumper Sahana Kumari.